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Oil Markets Whipsaw as Trump Trade Policies Spark Uncertainty

Global oil markets are experiencing significant volatility as traders navigate President Trump’s aggressive trade policy initiatives, with Brent crude oscillating around $78 per barrel.

The latest market turbulence stems from Trump’s swift actions against Colombia, where threatened tariffs were quickly suspended after Bogota agreed to presidential demands. This follows a broader pattern of Trump’s trade confrontations with major economies, including China, Canada, Mexico, and the EU, while simultaneously pressing OPEC to lower prices to impact Russian oil revenues.

Despite these geopolitical pressures, oil prices have maintained strength since the year’s start, bolstered by several factors: cold weather impacts, Russian oil sanctions driving Asian buyers to seek alternatives, and robust physical market demand reflected in strong timespreads. The market is also processing supply-side developments, with Iraq’s Rumaila field facing a 300,000 barrel per day reduction due to fire damage, while Kazakhstan achieves record production exceeding 2 million barrels daily.

Raw silver granules held in an open palm, illustrating industrial silver supply
Articles

Silver Price Predictions for the Next 5 Years: Data-Backed Scenarios 

Silver currently trades around $80 per ounce after pulling back from its January 2026 all-time high. For the next five years, the data points to a range of $90–$200+ depending on how industrial demand, supply deficits, and monetary conditions evolve. Here are three data-backed scenarios — and exactly what to watch.

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Newspaper stand at sunrise with headlines about global markets, tariffs, and tech — gold structural tailwinds 2026
Articles

Tariff Refunds, Dollar Weakness, the AI Bust: Gold’s Case 

Gold and silver market update — April 21, 2026  In this update: Five stories made headlines this week that have nothing obvious to do with gold — tariff refunds, Apple’s leadership change, a weakening dollar, Canada’s political shift, and an AI productivity bust. Together, they are gold structural tailwinds. Here’s what each one means. Who’s Actually Getting the $166 Billion in Tariff Refunds?  Not you. The US government opened a refund portal this week for $166 billion in tariff money — duties the Supreme Court struck down as unconstitutional in February. Over 56,000 importers have now registered, claiming $127 billion in Phase 1 alone. However, the refunds

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American Gold Eagle coin resting on a printed chart showing a declining gold price during the Iran War
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The Real Reason Gold Is Down During an Oil War 

Gold is down 10% since the Iran War began — while oil is up nearly 60%. If gold is an inflation hedge, why is it falling during an inflation shock? The answer comes down to one distinction most investors miss: paper gold and physical gold are not the same thing, and they don’t respond to the same forces.

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