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Rate Cut Predictions Vary Wildly Following Trump’s Tariff Announcement

President Trump’s new tariffs—the highest in over 100 years—have put the Federal Reserve in a tough spot. These tariffs could cause two problems at once: higher prices for consumers and slower economic growth, with some economists even warning about a possible recession.

Wall Street traders think the Fed will cut interest rates four times this year starting in June, believing that a slowing economy will be the bigger concern. But experts disagree on what will happen: Morgan Stanley predicts no rate cuts because of inflation risks, while other analysts see many different possibilities. Fed leaders, including Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, are taking a cautious approach, saying they’re “in no hurry” to change rates while they watch how Trump’s trade, immigration, and spending policies affect the economy. Jefferson said they’ll keep the current interest rate (4.25%-4.5%) if the economy stays strong, but will adjust if jobs decrease or inflation falls.

Gold coins resting on a completed IRS Schedule D capital gains form, illustrating how is gold taxed when you sell it
Articles

How Is Gold Taxed When You Sell It? The 28% Collectibles Rule Explained

Excerpt:

Sell physical gold or silver, and the IRS doesn’t tax you like a stockholder — it taxes you like someone who sold a painting. Here’s the 28% collectibles rule behind that gap, how it treats ETFs like GLD differently from mining stocks, and what it means for gifting, inheriting, or holding metal in an IRA.

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Suited hand turning a brass pressure valve with gauge in the red zone — is gold going lower as Fed policy tightens
Articles

Garner Calls a $3,600 Floor. Is Gold Going Lower?

Gold hit an all-time high of $5,589 on January 28, 2026. It is trading around $4,024 today. A new Fed Chair is explicitly trying to reverse the monetary policy trend that drove it there. Here is whether that changes anything for long-term holders.

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