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Rate Cut Predictions Vary Wildly Following Trump’s Tariff Announcement

President Trump’s new tariffs—the highest in over 100 years—have put the Federal Reserve in a tough spot. These tariffs could cause two problems at once: higher prices for consumers and slower economic growth, with some economists even warning about a possible recession.

Wall Street traders think the Fed will cut interest rates four times this year starting in June, believing that a slowing economy will be the bigger concern. But experts disagree on what will happen: Morgan Stanley predicts no rate cuts because of inflation risks, while other analysts see many different possibilities. Fed leaders, including Vice Chair Philip Jefferson, are taking a cautious approach, saying they’re “in no hurry” to change rates while they watch how Trump’s trade, immigration, and spending policies affect the economy. Jefferson said they’ll keep the current interest rate (4.25%-4.5%) if the economy stays strong, but will adjust if jobs decrease or inflation falls.

American manufacturing floor with workers operating heavy press machinery and a whiteboard showing rising input costs, illustrating ISM prices paid gold market implications
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Factory Costs Hit 82.1. That Number Is Now Working for Your Gold.

The ISM Manufacturing Prices-Paid Index hit 82.1 in May — the second-highest reading since 2022 and the 20th consecutive month of rising factory costs. Most headlines covered the manufacturing boom. Almost nobody explained what the prices-paid number means for the Fed, for inflation this summer, and for the structural case for holding gold.

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Gold Price History: From $35 to $4,500 in 100 Years
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Gold Price History: From $35 to $4,500 in 100 Years

Gold went from $35 in 1971 to around $4,500 today — a 12,000% gain since the gold standard ended. Meanwhile, the dollar lost 96.9% of its purchasing power over the same period. These are not two separate stories. This is the complete gold price history: decade by decade, the real cause behind every major move, and what a century of data tells investors right now.

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Gold at $4,500: What Fort Knox, China, and Silver Are Telling You
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Gold at $4,500: What Fort Knox, China, and Silver Are Telling You

Fort Knox holds $662 billion in gold not independently audited since 1953. China has bought gold for 13 straight months. Manufacturers are signaling inflation isn’t finished. Fourteen states just made gold and silver constitutional money. And silver is outperforming gold 2:1 today. Five stories. One through-line. Here’s what they mean for your metals.

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Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.
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Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.

Most assets have a simple relationship with stagflation. Silver doesn’t. It answers to two entirely separate demand pools — industrial and monetary — that in most macro environments pull against each other. Stagflation is the rare condition where both pull in the same direction at once. Here’s why that matters for investors holding physical silver today.

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American manufacturing floor with workers operating heavy press machinery and a whiteboard showing rising input costs, illustrating ISM prices paid gold market implications
News

Factory Costs Hit 82.1. That Number Is Now Working for Your Gold.

The ISM Manufacturing Prices-Paid Index hit 82.1 in May — the second-highest reading since 2022 and the 20th consecutive month of rising factory costs. Most headlines covered the manufacturing boom. Almost nobody explained what the prices-paid number means for the Fed, for inflation this summer, and for the structural case for holding gold.

Read More »
Gold at $4,500: What Fort Knox, China, and Silver Are Telling You
News

Gold at $4,500: What Fort Knox, China, and Silver Are Telling You

Fort Knox holds $662 billion in gold not independently audited since 1953. China has bought gold for 13 straight months. Manufacturers are signaling inflation isn’t finished. Fourteen states just made gold and silver constitutional money. And silver is outperforming gold 2:1 today. Five stories. One through-line. Here’s what they mean for your metals.

Read More »
Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.
News

Silver Has Two Engines. Stagflation Is the One Condition That Fires Both at Once.

Most assets have a simple relationship with stagflation. Silver doesn’t. It answers to two entirely separate demand pools — industrial and monetary — that in most macro environments pull against each other. Stagflation is the rare condition where both pull in the same direction at once. Here’s why that matters for investors holding physical silver today.

Read More »

Mary

Samantha is wonderful. I was nervous about spending a chunk of money. I asked her to `hold my hand’ and walk me through making my purchase.  
She laughed and guided me through, step by step. She was so helpful in explaining everything... 

A. Howard

Travis was amazing! I was having difficulty with a wire transfer of my life’s savings, and I was very worried that I might not be able to receive it all. My husband just passed away and I’ve been worried about these funds along with grieving for 8 months. As soon as I got connected with Travis, my concerns were immediately addressed and he put me at ease. The issue was resolved within days. He even called me back with updates to keep me in the loop about what was going on with the funds. I am so grateful for a customer representative like Travis. He really cares for his clients.

Sam was also very helpful! I called and was connected to Sam within 30 seconds. She helped me with a fee that was charged to my account. She had a great attitude and took care of the fee quickly.

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    Michael G.

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