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Swiss Gold Exports Surge to US in Final Month Before Historic 39% Tariff

Switzerland’s exports to the US rose 1.1% in July, driven by increased gold and watch shipments, just before President Trump imposed a surprising 39% tariff on Swiss goods—the highest among developed nations. Gold exports jumped to their highest level since March, while Swiss watch exports returned to growth, primarily due to US demand.

The new tariff affects about 10% of Swiss exports, particularly hitting machinery and technology sectors, though medicines remain exempt for now. Switzerland is urgently negotiating with Washington to reduce the levy while implementing domestic measures to cut production costs. The country’s role as the world’s largest gold-refining hub has become increasingly important, with gold exports worth over $36 billion accounting for two-thirds of Switzerland’s trade surplus with the US in Q1.

Despite the harsh tariff, analysts don’t expect Switzerland to enter recession, though concerns remain if Trump extends levies to pharmaceuticals, which represent nearly half of Swiss exports to America.

Raw silver granules held in an open palm, illustrating industrial silver supply
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Silver Price Predictions for the Next 5 Years: Data-Backed Scenarios 

Silver currently trades around $80 per ounce after pulling back from its January 2026 all-time high. For the next five years, the data points to a range of $90–$200+ depending on how industrial demand, supply deficits, and monetary conditions evolve. Here are three data-backed scenarios — and exactly what to watch.

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Newspaper stand at sunrise with headlines about global markets, tariffs, and tech — gold structural tailwinds 2026
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Tariff Refunds, Dollar Weakness, the AI Bust: Gold’s Case 

Gold and silver market update — April 21, 2026  In this update: Five stories made headlines this week that have nothing obvious to do with gold — tariff refunds, Apple’s leadership change, a weakening dollar, Canada’s political shift, and an AI productivity bust. Together, they are gold structural tailwinds. Here’s what each one means. Who’s Actually Getting the $166 Billion in Tariff Refunds?  Not you. The US government opened a refund portal this week for $166 billion in tariff money — duties the Supreme Court struck down as unconstitutional in February. Over 56,000 importers have now registered, claiming $127 billion in Phase 1 alone. However, the refunds

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