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Tariffs Hit Hardest at Bottom: Poor Pay More in Trade War

Trump’s new tariffs on China, with potential duties on Mexico and Canada, could cost typical households $1,200 annually, with lower-income Americans facing disproportionate impact.

According to Peterson Institute analysis, while typical households face $1,200 in annual costs, the bottom 20% of earners would lose 2.7% of their income, more than four times the 0.6% impact on the top 1%.

This disparity stems from lower-income families spending more of their income on essential goods directly affected by tariffs. The timing is particularly challenging as consumer financial health shows signs of stress, with credit card minimum payments reaching record highs at 11% of active accounts.

Tariffs could also increase inflation, delaying Federal Reserve rate cuts, keeping borrowing costs elevated. Additionally, retaliatory measures from China could affect manufacturing and agricultural jobs, particularly in states that supported Trump’s 2024 election victory. The situation is especially concerning given that low-income households are already grappling with high living costs, depleted savings, and increased debt burdens.

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After weeks of data blackout, the picture isn’t pretty. Jobless claims show a cooling labor market while consumer sentiment crashes to near-record lows. Credit card delinquencies just hit 15-year highs with Americans carrying $1.2 trillion in debt. The S&P 500 faces its longest losing streak since August. Meanwhile, wealthy investors are leasing out gold bars for yield. Today’s Nuggets explore the cracks in the consumer economy and how smart money is responding.

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Are We Entering a “Super Capital Rotation”?

Analysts warn we may be entering a Super Capital Rotation — a massive shift of money from stocks into silver and gold. In a new discussion with Northstar Bad Charts, Alan Hibbard breaks down why silver could be the key trigger, the $55–$56 breakout zone to watch, and how this setup echoes the late 1960s before metals went parabolic.

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Fed Walks Tightrope as Gold, Crypto, and Stocks Retreat

Fed Vice Chair Jefferson says labor risks are rising but rate cuts should move slowly—sending gold prices lower as December cut odds collapse to 42%. Meanwhile, retail investors are finally skipping the dip, corporate layoffs hit 22-year highs driven by AI investments, and crypto’s small-cap coins plunge to pandemic lows. Here’s what moved markets today.

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News

Americans Are Struggling and Markets Are Noticing

After weeks of data blackout, the picture isn’t pretty. Jobless claims show a cooling labor market while consumer sentiment crashes to near-record lows. Credit card delinquencies just hit 15-year highs with Americans carrying $1.2 trillion in debt. The S&P 500 faces its longest losing streak since August. Meanwhile, wealthy investors are leasing out gold bars for yield. Today’s Nuggets explore the cracks in the consumer economy and how smart money is responding.

Read More »
Are We Entering a “Super Capital Rotation”?
Videos

Are We Entering a “Super Capital Rotation”?

Analysts warn we may be entering a Super Capital Rotation — a massive shift of money from stocks into silver and gold. In a new discussion with Northstar Bad Charts, Alan Hibbard breaks down why silver could be the key trigger, the $55–$56 breakout zone to watch, and how this setup echoes the late 1960s before metals went parabolic.

Read More »

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