The $115 trillion global economy is caught between competing visions from the US and China, creating widespread uncertainty. Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs represent an aggressive attempt to reshape global trade in America’s favor, threatening to disrupt supply chains, raise import prices, and transform trade relationships worldwide.
Meanwhile, China under Xi Jinping positions itself as the defender of rules-based trade while seeking new markets for its exports.
The conflict has entered a dangerous escalation cycle, with Trump threatening additional 50% tariffs if China doesn’t roll back its 34% retaliatory duties.
Bloomberg Economics analysis suggests China will likely redirect most of its exports to replace lost US market share, potentially triggering protective measures from other countries.
For multinational companies like Apple and Nike with international supply chains, the tariffs threaten their fundamental business models, while investors struggle to assess economic damage amid the uncertainty.