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Wall Street Optimism Fades: Deutsche Bank Slashes S&P 500 Forecast

One of Wall Street’s most optimistic forecasters has dramatically cut their S&P 500 outlook as Trump’s trade policies threaten corporate profits.

Deutsche Bank now expects the S&P 500 to reach only 6,150 by year-end (down from 7,000) and predicts corporate earnings will fall 5% this year instead of growing.

The bank warns that the proposed tariffs would effectively raise import tax rates from 2.3% to 26.4%, creating an $800 billion burden on businesses that could only be relieved if the administration backs down on these policies.

Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets
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Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets

Silver surged more than 5% Tuesday and is holding near $80 — the highest level since March. The move isn’t simple. When the US and Israel launched their air campaign against Iran, gold fell 10% instead of rising. The reason was oil, the Strait of Hormuz, and an inflation shock that killed rate-cut expectations. The Iran ceasefire is now reversing all three dynamics at once — and silver is responding through both its monetary and industrial demand channels. Here’s the mechanism, the data, and the one date every precious metals investor should have on their radar.

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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded
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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded

Gold has gained roughly 15.6% since January 1, 2026, while the Dow is up just 2.7% over the same stretch. That gap doesn’t register in most financial headlines — but the Dow to gold ratio captures it with precision. Right now, the ratio reads approximately 10: it takes around 10 ounces of gold to match one unit of the Dow index. At the dot-com peak in 1999, it took 43. What does that shift tell us, and where does it go from here?

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Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets
News

Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets

Silver surged more than 5% Tuesday and is holding near $80 — the highest level since March. The move isn’t simple. When the US and Israel launched their air campaign against Iran, gold fell 10% instead of rising. The reason was oil, the Strait of Hormuz, and an inflation shock that killed rate-cut expectations. The Iran ceasefire is now reversing all three dynamics at once — and silver is responding through both its monetary and industrial demand channels. Here’s the mechanism, the data, and the one date every precious metals investor should have on their radar.

Read More »

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