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What To Expect From Thursday’s Inflation Report

Thursday’s inflation report is expected to show Consumer Price Index growth of 2.5% for March, down from February’s 2.8%, marking the lowest rate since September. This decline, driven by falling energy prices, suggests post-pandemic inflation continues to fade.

However, economists warn this improvement may be temporary due to President Trump’s recent tariff announcements. The March implementation of tariffs on Chinese goods may already be affecting prices, with additional tariffs on cars, steel, aluminum, and various imports scheduled to begin in April. UBS forecasters predict inflation could reach 5% if the tariffs remain in full force, though many analysts expect negotiations will result in less severe measures than initially announced.

dollar vs gold relationship
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Dollar vs Gold Relationship: Why They Often Move in Opposite Directions 

When the U.S. dollar weakens, gold prices typically rise — and vice versa. This inverse relationship between gold and the dollar is one of the most consistent patterns in global markets, driven by gold’s dollar-denominated pricing, competing safe-haven demand, and Federal Reserve interest rate policy. But the relationship isn’t absolute. Central bank gold buying, geopolitical risk, and shifting real yields can all disrupt the traditional correlation. Here’s what every investor needs to understand about the dollar vs gold relationship and what it means for your portfolio.

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Gold Safe Haven
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Gold Safe Haven Bid Returns After Nine-Day Selloff 

Trump claims Iran talks are ongoing. Tehran denies it. Oil dropped 5% on ceasefire hopes. Gold and silver rebounded after a brutal nine-day selloff. The gold-to-crude ratio is flashing a rare signal—and it’s not just about inflation.

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Gold Price Correction
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Gold Price Correction Settles as Saudi Arabia Eyes Iran War 

Gold is posting its worst 5-day price correction since 2013, silver is on a 10-day losing streak, and Saudi Arabia is moving toward joining the Iran war. Here’s what’s driving the selloff and what the biggest energy shock in history means for precious metals investors.

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