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US Manufacturing Contracts as Tariff Uncertainty Rattles Factory Sector

US manufacturing activity contracted in March for the first time this year, with the ISM index falling to 49 from 50.3 (readings below 50 indicate contraction).

Meanwhile, prices paid for materials surged 7 points to 69.4, the highest since June 2022, marking a concerning 14.5-point increase over two months.

The contraction appears linked to uncertainty around the Trump administration’s tariff policies, with factory orders slumping to their weakest level since May 2023, production shrinking, and employment contracting at the fastest pace since September as manufacturers pause investment plans amid policy uncertainty.

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
News

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

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Gold bar in front of a laptop displaying CPI and inflation charts — illustrating the gold inflation paradox
Articles

The Gold Inflation Paradox Most Investors Miss

Gold fell around 15% from its all-time high while inflation hit a nearly 3-year peak. The inflation-hedge narrative isn’t wrong — it’s incomplete. Here’s what the data really shows about gold and rising prices.

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Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
News

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

Read More »

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