Silver Price Prediction: One Bank Cut Its Target 30%, and the Reason Wasn’t the Fed

J.P. Morgan cut its Q4 silver forecast from $90 to $63, and silver already trades above it. The driver was solar demand, not the Fed. Gregory Shearer sizes the decline at roughly 60 million ounces, which is larger than 2026’s 46.3 million ounce deficit.
Will Gold Go Down for the Rest of 2026? Six Banks Cut Their Targets, and the Cuts Trailed the Price

Six banks revised a 2026 gold price target between June and late August. Every revision moved down, and not one moved up. Gold still trades below four of the six reduced figures, which means the cuts chased the price and did not catch it. Here is the revision record, the rate mechanism behind it, and what a dated price target commits anyone to.
What Are the IRS Rules for a Precious Metals IRA in 2026?

Two tests decide whether a retirement account can hold bullion, and the industry quotes only one of them. The purity figures everyone cites are not in the tax code. The condition that is there cost one couple $411,000 when they kept eligible coins in a home safe.
Silver Beat Gold in August. Almost Nobody Said So.

Every outlet ran the same line about gold’s best month since September 1999. Measured close to close, silver rose 19.0% in August and gold 15.1%. Here is what the smaller metal’s lead says about who is bidding for metal, and why a positive real yield stopped mattering.
A Stablecoin Issuer Bought More Gold Last Year Than Any Central Bank

The Fed’s flagship conference is about payment rails this year, not the level of rates. ECB data explains why that is a gold story, and why the most striking buyer of 2025 was not a central bank at all.
Ten Percent Sent Gold Abroad. Nine Percent Brought It Home.

The financial press says central banks are bringing their gold home. The World Gold Council asked 76 of them, and the numbers run the other way: more spread gold into additional foreign jurisdictions last year than repatriated it. What that says about custody, and about how you hold your own metal.
Gold’s Speculative Crowd Hit a 60-Week High. Almost Nobody Bought.

Two metals rallied this week on the same headline. Underneath, the last CFTC positioning data, as of August 11, shows opposite structures. Gold’s short book has thinned to 64% of normal. Silver’s is still at 87%. Only one of these prices has a cushion under it.
Gold’s Pullback Isn’t About ETFs. It’s About a Treasury Buyback.

Gold and silver are cooling after a 4-6% surge this week, and the popular explanation making the rounds is incomplete. The real driver: the U.S. Treasury just doubled its own bond buybacks after a failed auction, not ETF inflows.
Three Fed Officials Voted to Hike. What It Means for Gold.

The Federal Reserve’s July 29 vote was 9 to 3. Three officials wanted to hike. Tomorrow’s FOMC minutes reveal how far that hawkish case actually got — and what it means for gold before Jackson Hole.
Why Is Gold Not Going Up? The Bears Vanished in June

Every futures market has two sides. Gold has been running on one since June, when short positions fell 35% in a single week and stayed down. That removes the buying that normally cushions a decline. Here is why the paper price is fragile right now, and why the ounce is not.
