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Gold retreats from record highs but fundamentals remain strong. Expert analysis of market dynamics and institutional forecasts...
Dive into this insightful conversation with Mike Maloney and Alan Hibbard as they explore how the latest U.S. election might impact gold, silver
READ MOREAccording to a model from the Cleveland Federal Reserve, rent inflation will likely remain high until at least mid-2026. Despite some indicators suggesting new rents are decreasing, the overall consumer price index (CPI) for rent is expected to stay elevated due to reduced turnover in leases. This situation complicates the Federal Reserve's efforts to communicate about inflation and may hinder their ability to cut interest rates, as rising shelter costs significantly impact inflation metrics.
READ MOREHSBC is undergoing a major restructuring, with hundreds of managers competing to keep their jobs in the newly formed corporate and institutional banking division. The process involves interviews pitting senior staff from different units against each other, likely resulting in several hundred job cuts in the coming weeks.
READ MOREPresident Joe Biden has approved Ukraine's use of US-made long-range missiles for limited strikes within Russian territory, marking a significant policy shift. This decision comes in response to the deployment of North Korean troops supporting Russia and recent Russian attacks on Ukrainian cities. The US-made ATACMS missiles, with a range of up to 300km, are likely to be used first against Russian and North Korean forces in Russia's Kursk region. This move has been met with criticism from Moscow, with Putin's spokesperson warning of an "appropriate" reaction. The decision comes just two months before Donald Trump, who is skeptical of additional military aid to Ukraine, takes office.
READ MOREGold prices bounced back on Monday after six consecutive sessions of losses, driven by a pause in the U.S. dollar's rally. Investors are now awaiting comments from Federal Reserve officials for insights into the future interest rate trajectory. The precious metal's price rose 1.3% to $2,593.32 per ounce, moving away from a two-month low reached last Thursday. This rebound comes after gold experienced its largest weekly decline in over three years due to expectations of less aggressive interest rate cuts by the Fed.
READ MOREPresident-elect Trump's tax cut dreams have received a significant boost following the Republican sweep of the presidency and Congress. This victory opens the door for a multi-pronged approach to reducing taxes, going beyond simply renewing the 2017 cuts. While Republicans now have the power to enact tax legislation unilaterally, they must navigate internal debates about the size of tax cuts and their impact on the national deficit.
READ MOREIn recent remarks, Fed Chair Jerome Powell stressed that the robust U.S. economy provides flexibility in the timing of future rate cuts. He noted that the current economic conditions don't necessitate hasty rate reductions. Powell reaffirmed the Fed's commitment to bringing inflation down to 2%, acknowledging that the path may not always be smooth.
READ MOREWhile economists predict significant economic disruption from Trump's proposed tariffs, many business leaders are less concerned. CEOs and investors are skeptical that Trump will follow through on all his tariff threats and express confidence in their ability to navigate any new trade policies. This optimism stands in stark contrast to economists' dire predictions.
READ MOREOctober's retail sales data showed a 0.4% increase, surpassing forecasts and indicating continued consumer spending strength. The report also revealed a substantial upward revision to September's sales, further highlighting the robust state of consumer spending.
READ MOREThe latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report shows U.S. inflation rose to 2.6% year-over-year in October, up from 2.4% in September. This increase breaks the recent trend of cooling inflation. Monthly inflation remained steady at 0.2%, while core inflation measures held stable.
READ MOREA new study suggests the IMF should sell 4% of its gold reserves to provide $9.52 billion in debt relief for 86 low-income countries affected by climate disasters. This would expand the IMF's Catastrophe Containment Relief Trust, which currently has limited funding and eligibility. The proposal aims to address the growing burden of IMF loan repayments on vulnerable economies.
READ MOREWall Street remained cautious on Thursday, with major indices showing slight declines. Investors focused on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's upcoming speech and the potential economic impact of Republican control in DC, while recent inflation data continued to fuel hopes for a December rate cut.
READ MOREChina has prepared robust countermeasures to retaliate against US companies if Donald Trump reignites a trade war upon his return to the presidency. Unlike in 2016, Beijing now has new laws and tools at its disposal, including the ability to blacklist foreign companies, impose sanctions, and restrict access to crucial supply chains. While China's economic vulnerabilities persist, it is better equipped to defend its interests in a potential trade conflict.
READ MOREChina's recent issuance of $2 billion in US dollar bonds in Saudi Arabia highlights the enduring appeal of the dollar in international finance, despite calls for de-dollarization. The move strengthens China-Saudi ties and provides benchmarks for Chinese companies, while also demonstrating the dollar's continued dominance in global markets.
READ MOREUBS remains bullish on gold, advising investors to buy on dips around $2,600/oz with a $2,900/oz target over the next 12 months. The bank emphasizes gold's enduring value as a hedge against economic uncertainties and recommends a 5% allocation in balanced portfolios, citing factors such as central bank demand, potential US fiscal deficits, and ongoing geopolitical tensions as supportive of gold prices.
READ MOREGold prices are responding to a perfect storm of economic and political factors. The Fed's recent rate cut to 4.5%-4.75%, Trump's election victory, and China's economic stimulus measures are all influencing the precious metal's value. In this episode of Unearthed, hosts John Reade and Joe Cavatoni discuss the latest news and events and how they impact the gold markets.
READ MOREBond market experts are adjusting their forecasts following Trump's presidential win, with concerns about inflation driving expectations for higher long-term Treasury yields. The 10-year Treasury yield has jumped since the election, as Trump's proposed policies could substantially increase U.S. debt. This development, alongside robust economic indicators, has led to a reassessment of the Federal Reserve's rate cut plans and market predictions for future monetary policy.
READ MOREFederal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell maintains that long-term inflation expectations are "well anchored," but recent data and expert opinions suggest otherwise. Consumer expectations for inflation over the next 5-10 years have risen, and economists predict that President-elect Trump's policies may further boost inflation. Companies are already warning of price increases, and many Americans continue to feel the strain of high prices.
READ MOREGold prices have stabilized around $2,600 after finding support at a major trendline, halting a short-term downtrend. The recent US CPI data, which aligned with expectations, had minimal impact on gold prices. The precious metal's November sell-off was influenced by expectations of elevated US interest rates and significant outflows from Gold ETFs.
READ MOREThe Federal Reserve may implement fewer interest rate cuts in 2025 than previously anticipated due to President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariff policies. Former Fed policymaker Loretta Mester believes the market is correct in adjusting its expectations, as Trump's fiscal plans could impact the pace of rate cuts and potentially lead to higher inflation.
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